Ntlafatso ea 'maraka: Bahlahlobisisi ba hlalositse maemo a holimo a litheko tsa cocoa e le "parabolic" ha bokamoso ba cocoa bo nyoloha ka 2.7% ho rekoto e ncha ea $10760 tonne New York ka Mantaha (15 Mmesa) pele e theohela ho £10000 tonne kamora index ea dollar (DXY00) e phahamisitsoe ho ea holimo ho likhoeli tse 5-1 / 4.

Matšoenyeho a hore phepelo ea cocoa ea lefats'e e tla tsoela pele ho fokotseha likhoeling tse tlang e nyolla litheko ho ea holimo haholo.Bahlahlobisisi ba Citi Research ba bolela esale pele hore ho hloka botsitso 'marakeng oa cocoa ho ka bona bokamoso ba New York bo nyolohela ho $12500 tonne likhoeling tse tharo tse tlang.

Litheko tsa New York li fumanehile bakeng sa linako tse supileng tse otlolohileng, e leng lebelo le lelelele ho tloha qalong ea Hlakola.Kotulo e sebakeng se hōlang Afrika Bophirimela e anngoe haholo ke boemo ba leholimo bo tšabehang le mafu a lijalo.

Bloomberg e tlalehile ka Mantaha hore cocoa e fihla likoung tsa Cote d'lvoire (mohlahisi e moholo ka ho fetisisa oa cocoa lefatšeng) e fihlile ho lithane tse limilione tse 1.31 ho fihlela joale lebaka lena, ho theohile ka 30% ho tloha selemong se fetileng.

Litšenyehelo

Bahlahlobisisi ba Citi ba ngotse hore litheko tse phahameng li boetse li phahamisa kotsi ea ho putlama ha barekisi le bareki nakong ea likhoeli tse 6 ho isa ho tse 12 tse tlang.

Barchart.com e tlaleha hore ka lebaka la phepelo e fokolang, bakhanni ba cocoa lefatšeng ka bophara ba lefa 'marakeng oa chelete ho boloka phepelo ea cocoa selemong sena ka lebaka la matšoenyeho a ntseng a hola a hore barekisi ba cocoa ba Afrika Bophirima ba kanna ba hana likonteraka tsa phepelo.

Mantaha oa la 15 Tšitoe 2024 setšoantšo sa 'maraka: May ICE NY cocoa (CCK24) e koetsoe +14 (+0.13%), le May ICE London cocoa #7 (CAK24) e koetsoe +191 (+2.13%).

Bloomberg e boetse e tlaleha hore Boto ea Cocoa ea Ghana e buisana le barekisi ba bohlokoa ba cocoa ho chechisa ho fana ka bonyane 150000 MT ho 250000 MT ea cocoa ho fihlela sehla se tlang ka lebaka la khaello ea linaoa.

Litheko tsa cocoa li eketsehile haholo ho tloha qalong ea selemo, li susumetsoa ke khaello e mpe ka ho fetesisa ea phepelo lilemong tse 40.

Lintlha tsa 'muso oa Mantaha oa Cote d'lvoire li bonts'itse hore lihoai tsa Ivory Coast li rometse 1.31 MMT ea cocoa likoung ho tloha ka la 1 Mphalane ho isa la 14 Mmesa, ho theoha ka 30% ho tloha ka nako e ts'oanang selemong se fetileng.

Khaello ea boraro ea selemo ea cocoa

Khaello ea selemo le selemo ea cocoa e lebelletsoe ho hola ho fihlela 2023-24 kaha tlhahiso ea hajoale ha e lekane ho fihlela tlhoko.

Hape, litheko tsa cocoa li bona tšehetso ho tsoa ketsahalong ea boemo ba leholimo ea EI Nino ea hajoale ka mor'a ketsahalo ea EI Nino ka 2016 e bakileng komello e ileng ea etsa hore kopano ea litheko tsa cocoa e be holimo ho lilemo tse 12, accordinf ho barchart.com.